There is good news about Daily Fantasy Football. Like with all Fantasy games, you do not need to be a mathematical genius. You do not even need to know a lot of the basic mathematical concepts. However, there are some fantasy football statistics you need to be able to understand in order to really master your Daily Fantasy skills.
If you are new to Daily Fantasy Sports, if this is your first foray in fantasy sport, there is one thing you need to be prepared for. This is a numbers game. There will be a lot of numbers displayed throughout your experience using the online platform and sourcing the best information from recommended websites that offer valuable fantasy football statistics.
Numbers Really Do Not Matter
While you have been warned about the swarm of numbers you will see in your DFF experience, there is some great news and we thought to give it to you first.
Anything can happen in our DFF Contests. Anyone can win and it is not always based on their ability to study and analyse numbers. You could win a Contest by choosing the players for your team simply based of the colour or length of their hair. Of course, this sounds preposterous but it is true.
Now, the likelihood of this happening is really very low, like buying a lottery ticket. So it is certainly not the way go if you want to increase your chances of winning. And, if you want to increase your chances of winning using some basic methods, read on.
One Number Does Matter Still: Average
There is one number that really does matter, the score average.
To really go back to basics here, the average score a player receives, for example, over five games, is equal to the total of points he has collected divided by five games.
The average is a great number to understand as it shows us how, over a certain period of games, a player has performed. When selecting your team, look at the average points the players have scored in the most recent games, say their last five or so, and then select those with the highest average.
When sourcing statistics from sites like WhoScored, what you want to check is for measures that earn points on Sportito, like goals, assists and clean sheets. It is advisable to check for these statistics and, most importantly, the most recent ones. For example, if looking at a striker’s recent scoring record, it is advisable to look at his last five or six games and his scoring average across this most recent run of games.
A players score average is a very useful statistic but be warned of one major downside. When well into the season, be careful when looking at a player’s average as, for example, if a player starts the season really well and scores 15 goals in the first 15 games of the campaign and then in the next 15 games scores just five goals, his overall average will be 0.67 goals per game. But, his average is only so high because of his early season form, but, his form is not great as his average in the last 15 games is half this at 0.33.
When looking at Sportito scores of each player, it is the same story. A player may average 10 points per game in his first 10 games. However, he might only average 5 points in the next 10 games. His total average would be 7.5 points, however, the players most recent form in the last ten games shows an average of just 5.
The lesson here is that averages are a great statistic but do pay more attention as the season goes on as the number scores tend to distort the relevance of the number, especially in respect to a players’ trend.
One Obvious Number: The Most Recent Score
This number is pretty simple; it is the most recent score the player has received.
When picking your team, it is always advisable to check the most recent score that player has received. If the player has scored really well, then he is in form, simple as that.
One Not So Obvious Number That Does Matter
This is arguably the most reliable number: the median.
To briefly explain what this number is, imagine a player has received the following scores in this order; 4, 20, 5, 8, 11, 2. Now, reorder these numbers from lowest to largest; 2, 4, 5, 8, 11, 20. To find the media number now, find the number that is in the middle of the six numbers. As there are six numbers, an even number, there is no number dead set in the centre of this range of numbers. In this case, we have to added the two middle numbers together and then divide them by two. Doing this and we get the number 6.5.
Compare this to the average number of these scores and it would be in this sequence, it would be 14.33, a much higher number.
The great thing about the Median number is that it is more reliable than the average number as it shows scores that the player is more likely to receive and is not distorted by those big or low numbers that distort the statistic, like with the average.
Numbers Aside Now
The above numbers above are very useful to know and we recommend you try and apply these methods, both average and median, to a players score on Sportito, the goals they score, assists, clean sheets and cautions and red cards too – it is important to also measure for these as Sportito penalises for yellow and red cards so it is just as important to avoid dropping points as much as winning points.
Now, finally, putting numbers to the side, there is one important thing to remember here: it is always important to consider the matches to be played.
For example, if Philippe Coutinho has not scored a goal in four games in which his team, Liverpool, have played Manchester United, Arsenal, West Ham and Chelsea but then the match that is relevant to the Contest you have signed up to is Liverpool at home to Burnley who have their best player and captain injured and suspended, then there is a good chance Coutinho might break his duck and get on the scoresheet.
Why? It is simple. The four previous games were against tough opposition and, generally, in games between two great sides chances are fewer and further between, hence, less chances to score. However, at home to Burnley, Coutinho will have a much greater chance to score as he team will likely produce more chances to score.